Welcome to Asset Class Trading. In this blog, I’ll explore and develop my thoughts on what works in trading, generating alpha and investing in general. I’ve been trading asset classes for the past 20 years for myself personally, and since 2001 as a portfolio manager of an active global tactical asset allocation strategy that specializes in trading asset classes. 

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Recent Blog Posts

Shiller CAPE – A Deceptively Dangerous Tool

Executive Summary In this post, I examine the popular stock market valuation tool, the Shiller CAPE. The Shiller CAPE valuation approach, based on 150 years of data, appears to have an uncanny ability to predict future S&P 500 returns. Unfortunately, the benefits...

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Value Investing for Asset Class Traders

Executive Summary This is the first of a multi-part series examining the use of valuation approaches to identify future outperforming asset classes. I discuss why value investing is an essential and useful tool for asset class traders. I briefly discuss the Warren...

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Navigating Asset Bubbles for Profits

Large price runups, such as a gain of 100% over two years, are rare.1 In a previous blog post, I presented 10 attributes to distinguish asset class bubbles from large price runups that are justified by improving fundamentals. Those bubble attributes are: Heavy retail...

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